Statistical analysis of oil and gas pipeline accidents with a focus on the relationship between pipeline design and accident consequences
Oil and gas pipelines
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AbstractOil and gas pipeline accidents can lead to severe consequences such as explosions, injuries, and fatalities. In this thesis, onshore and offshore hazardous liquid and gas pipeline accidents that occurred between 2010 and 2017 are investigated. The main objective is to estimate failure rates and analyze how failure consequences are related to pipeline design. The results help the industry to minimize risks associated with pipelines and improve emergency response planning and accident management systems for new and existing pipelines. Linear and logistic regression and Bayesian rate estimation are applied for the data analyses. Onshore hazardous liquid gathering pipelines have the largest failure rate of 3.37E-03 accidents per km per year. The analysis results shows that ignition, injury, and fatality probabilities increase with diameter.
Schulich School of Engineering