The political economy of the hydrocarbon sector: Bolivia and Venezuela in comparative perspective

Date
2019-06-19
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Abstract

In the early 2000s, the governments of Bolivia and Venezuela sought to reconstitute their states and increase their role in the economy as a way to achieve economic and political inclusion. To accomplish this goal, the initial political projects of both Evo Morales and Hugo Chávez required a fundamental shift in the governance of the petroleum sector, as the economy of both countries heavily relies on oil and gas revenues. Therefore, a central component of their agenda included seizing control of oil and gas production and maximizing appropriation of its rents. Despite these similarities and while enjoying a commodity price boom, the hydrocarbon sector performance shows considerable variation in each country. While Bolivia’s gas production increased over 114% between 2004 and 2014, Venezuela’s oil production declined 19% in the same period, with a marked downward trend starting in 2008. Why did the hydrocarbon sector have such different performances in these two, otherwise similar, left-wing governments? I argue that variations in the hydrocarbon sector performance can be explained by the different constraints imposed on the government by partisan and path-dependent variables stemming from each country development model. In Bolivia, policymaking involved a complex interaction between organized social interests and the MAS ruling party as well as salient trade offs given socio-structural constraints imposed by its natural resource-led development model and the lack of operational and financial capacity of the natural gas industry. By contrast, policymaking in Venezuela became a top-down process due to comparatively weaker ties between the government and its social base, giving the president a higher degree of autonomy in deciding energy policy

Description
Keywords
Governance, Natural resources
Citation
Liendo Paez, J. (2019). The political economy of the hydrocarbon sector: Bolivia and Venezuela in comparative perspective (Master's thesis, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada). Retrieved from https://prism.ucalgary.ca.