Environmental Impact Assessment Of Anticipated 2037 Electrical Vehicle Adoption In Alberta
Abstract
This study assesses the environmental impacts of the projected adoption of electric vehicles in Alberta in 2037, evaluates receptiveness of the current regulatory environment and identifies policies to encourage adoption. Four scenarios are modeled including two electric vehicle uptake projections and two anticipated Albertan energy mixes. Findings suggest greenhouse gas reductions between 57.8% and 63% per kilometer could be achieved, with Alberta-wide reductions being between 1,910,000 and 3,120,000 tonnes GHG-100 annually. Substantial reductions of criteria pollutants can also be achieved but sulphur dioxide emissions will increase due to grid dependency upon natural gas. Policy research suggests the regulatory environment is somewhat receptive to electric vehicle adoption, but numerous potential incentives could further encourage uptake. Environmental benefits from adopting electric vehicles are currently minimal but these will become increasingly pronounced as the grid develops towards 2037 projections. Policies to encourage electric vehicle adoption should be scaled accordingly to maximize environmental benefits.