The Economic Impact of Infectious Bronchitis on the Canadian Poultry Industry

dc.contributor.advisorHall, David
dc.contributor.authorPhuntsho, Karma
dc.contributor.committeememberCareem, Faizal
dc.contributor.committeemembervan der Meer, Frank
dc.date2022-11
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-28T21:25:53Z
dc.date.available2022-09-28T21:25:53Z
dc.date.issued2022-09
dc.description.abstractInfectious bronchitis is a common, highly contagious, acute, and economically important viral disease of chickens caused by infectious bronchitis virus (IBV), a gammacoronavirus. It affects the respiratory system, reproductive organs, and kidneys. Morbidity is 100%, and mortality can go well up to 30%, while egg production drops by up to 50% or more depending upon secondary infection by bacterial pathogens. Emerging IBV variants have led to outbreaks in vaccinated flocks due to a lack of cross-protective immunity, which represents a concern for producers. It is imperative that we assess the economic impact of IBV on the Canadian poultry industry to make important decisions on control and mitigation. I hypothesized that vaccination to prevent infectious bronchitis (IB) in poultry layers would have net positive economic benefits for Canadian poultry producers. A multiple scenario framework with Monte Carlo simulation and benefit-cost analysis was applied. The economic impact of IB on layer farms in Canada was examined by setting up models of Canadian layer poultry farms using data from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, scientific papers, the internet, and industry sources to perform simulations for various revenue classes across a range of IBV infection scenarios while considering possible control and prevention options. The results show that the impact of IB outbreaks on Canadian poultry industry is estimated to be around 207 billion CAD annually. The high benefit-cost ratios (5-9) from adopting IB vaccines suggest that vaccination as a preventive strategy would be highly cost effective. The study demonstrated the value of vaccination as a preventive or mitigation strategy against potential losses due to IBV. Understanding the extent of economic losses IB outbreaks cause to layer producers would inform the development of timely and cost-effective disease control and preventive measures in order to minimize the impact of IB on egg and chicken production.en_US
dc.identifier.citationPhuntsho, K. (2022). The economic impact of infectious bronchitis on the Canadian poultry industry (Master's thesis, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada). Retrieved from https://prism.ucalgary.ca.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1880/115322
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.11575/PRISM/40328
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisher.facultyVeterinary Medicineen_US
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Calgaryen
dc.rightsUniversity of Calgary graduate students retain copyright ownership and moral rights for their thesis. You may use this material in any way that is permitted by the Copyright Act or through licensing that has been assigned to the document. For uses that are not allowable under copyright legislation or licensing, you are required to seek permission.en_US
dc.subjectInfectious bronchitis virusen_US
dc.subjecteconomic impacten_US
dc.subjectbenefit-cost analysisen_US
dc.subjectMonte Carlo simulationen_US
dc.subject.classificationEconomics--Agriculturalen_US
dc.subject.classificationVeterinary Scienceen_US
dc.titleThe Economic Impact of Infectious Bronchitis on the Canadian Poultry Industryen_US
dc.typemaster thesisen_US
thesis.degree.disciplineVeterinary Medical Sciencesen_US
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Calgaryen_US
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science (MSc)en_US
ucalgary.item.requestcopytrueen_US
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