Probability distribution maps for the arbovirus vector Culicoides sonorensis in southern Alberta and Montana under current and future climate scenarios.

atmire.migration.oldid1197
dc.contributor.advisorCork, Susan Catherine
dc.contributor.advisorMassolo, Alessandro
dc.contributor.authorZuliani, Anna
dc.date.accessioned2013-08-01T17:42:49Z
dc.date.available2013-11-12T08:00:09Z
dc.date.issued2013-08-01
dc.date.submitted2013en
dc.description.abstractCulicoides sonorensis transmits Bluetongue and Epizootic Hemorrhagic Disease viruses to ruminants in western North America. This study was conducted to model the current and future distribution of C. sonorensis in Southern Alberta (Canada) and Montana (USA). Data on C. sonorensis, collected from 2002 to 2011, and environmental and climatic variables, chosen based on the ecology of Culicoides spp., were used in the analysis. Under current climatic conditions, the best MaxEnt model selected with the Akaike Information Criterion was built using 50 C. sonorensis presence records and four variables (Elevation, Land Cover, mean Precipitation of May and mean Vapour Pressure Deficit of July). Under future climate scenarios, constructed relying on three Representative Concentration Pathways, a northward expansion of C. sonorensis was predicted by the 2030s and 2050s. Our models can provide information for the development of future vector surveillance and the assessment of disease transmission risk in the region.en_US
dc.identifier.citationZuliani, A. (2013). Probability distribution maps for the arbovirus vector Culicoides sonorensis in southern Alberta and Montana under current and future climate scenarios. (Master's thesis, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada). Retrieved from https://prism.ucalgary.ca. doi:10.11575/PRISM/27438en_US
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.11575/PRISM/27438
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11023/855
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisher.facultyGraduate Studies
dc.publisher.facultyVeterinary Medicine
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Calgaryen
dc.publisher.placeCalgaryen
dc.rightsUniversity of Calgary graduate students retain copyright ownership and moral rights for their thesis. You may use this material in any way that is permitted by the Copyright Act or through licensing that has been assigned to the document. For uses that are not allowable under copyright legislation or licensing, you are required to seek permission.
dc.subjectEntomology
dc.subjectVeterinary Science
dc.subject.classificationDisease vector distributionen_US
dc.subject.classificationRisk Assessmenten_US
dc.subject.classificationclimate changeen_US
dc.titleProbability distribution maps for the arbovirus vector Culicoides sonorensis in southern Alberta and Montana under current and future climate scenarios.
dc.typemaster thesis
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Calgary
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science (MSc)
ucalgary.item.requestcopytrue
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