Probability distribution maps for the arbovirus vector Culicoides sonorensis in southern Alberta and Montana under current and future climate scenarios.
atmire.migration.oldid | 1197 | |
dc.contributor.advisor | Cork, Susan Catherine | |
dc.contributor.advisor | Massolo, Alessandro | |
dc.contributor.author | Zuliani, Anna | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2013-08-01T17:42:49Z | |
dc.date.available | 2013-11-12T08:00:09Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2013-08-01 | |
dc.date.submitted | 2013 | en |
dc.description.abstract | Culicoides sonorensis transmits Bluetongue and Epizootic Hemorrhagic Disease viruses to ruminants in western North America. This study was conducted to model the current and future distribution of C. sonorensis in Southern Alberta (Canada) and Montana (USA). Data on C. sonorensis, collected from 2002 to 2011, and environmental and climatic variables, chosen based on the ecology of Culicoides spp., were used in the analysis. Under current climatic conditions, the best MaxEnt model selected with the Akaike Information Criterion was built using 50 C. sonorensis presence records and four variables (Elevation, Land Cover, mean Precipitation of May and mean Vapour Pressure Deficit of July). Under future climate scenarios, constructed relying on three Representative Concentration Pathways, a northward expansion of C. sonorensis was predicted by the 2030s and 2050s. Our models can provide information for the development of future vector surveillance and the assessment of disease transmission risk in the region. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citation | Zuliani, A. (2013). Probability distribution maps for the arbovirus vector Culicoides sonorensis in southern Alberta and Montana under current and future climate scenarios. (Master's thesis, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada). Retrieved from https://prism.ucalgary.ca. doi:10.11575/PRISM/27438 | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | http://dx.doi.org/10.11575/PRISM/27438 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/11023/855 | |
dc.language.iso | eng | |
dc.publisher.faculty | Graduate Studies | |
dc.publisher.faculty | Veterinary Medicine | |
dc.publisher.institution | University of Calgary | en |
dc.publisher.place | Calgary | en |
dc.rights | University of Calgary graduate students retain copyright ownership and moral rights for their thesis. You may use this material in any way that is permitted by the Copyright Act or through licensing that has been assigned to the document. For uses that are not allowable under copyright legislation or licensing, you are required to seek permission. | |
dc.subject | Entomology | |
dc.subject | Veterinary Science | |
dc.subject.classification | Disease vector distribution | en_US |
dc.subject.classification | Risk Assessment | en_US |
dc.subject.classification | climate change | en_US |
dc.title | Probability distribution maps for the arbovirus vector Culicoides sonorensis in southern Alberta and Montana under current and future climate scenarios. | |
dc.type | master thesis | |
thesis.degree.grantor | University of Calgary | |
thesis.degree.name | Master of Science (MSc) | |
ucalgary.item.requestcopy | true |